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Blog - GAMBLING

Gulfstream Park file photo courtesy of Eclipse Sportswire

When trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. claimed Spielberg for $6,250 on Dec. 2 at Gulfstream Park, he had to believe it was money well spent.

The 4-year-colt won that bottom level claimer by 5 ¼ lengths as an even-money favorite.

Inspired by that performance, Joseph took an ambitious step and entered Spielberg in an optional claimer on Jan. 3 that featured allowance horses and $15,000 claimers. It was a tall order for a horse last seen in a $6,250 claimer, making a 10-length loss somewhat understandable.

What happened next made much more sense. Instead of returning Spielberg to the bottom of the claiming ranks, Joseph tipped his confidence by placing him in a straight $10,000 claimer. Showing up in that spot indicated that Joseph believed he had more than a bottom-level claimer on his hands, and the result of that Feb. 2 race substantiated it.  

Spielberg won by 5 ¼ lengths as a 4-5 favorite, paying $3.60 to win.

As a footnote, Spielberg was claimed, giving his connections a $3,750 profit off their original claim plus $13,950 in purse money.

The lesson: A trainer’s confidence in their horse is a powerful handicapping tool. 

SPIELBERG'S PAST PERFORMANCES

Ehalt Inside 

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En Español 

Translated by Anthony Gutierrez, Edited by Jose Acevedo

Puntos de apuestas de la semana: De vuelta donde pertence

Cuando el entrenador Saffie Joseph Jr. reclamo a Spielberg por $6250 el 2 de diciembre en el hipódromo de Gulfstream Park, el tuvo que creer que el dinero estaba bien invertido.

El potro cuatroañero gano esa carrera reclamativa de bajo nivel por 5 cuerpos y un cuarto como un favorito equitativo.

Inspirado por su desempeño, Joseph dio un paso ambicioso e inscribió a Spielberg en una carrera reclamativa opcional el 3 de enero, en la cual el reclamo límite era $15000.Esta era una tarea difícil para un caballo que venía de perder por 10 cuerpos en una carrera  reclamativa donde el reclamo era de $6250, de alguna forma era incomprensible.

Lo que paso a continuación tiene mucho mas sentido. En vez de llevar de nuevo a Spielberg a las carreras reclamativa  de bajo rango, Joseph aumento su confianza, inscribiéndolo en una carrera con un reclamo lógico  de $10000. Lo demostrado en ese momento indicaba que Joseph creía que tenia en sus manos a un caballo que pertenecía a un nivel mas alto que el de carreras reclamativa de bajo nivel.

Y el resultado de la carrera del 2 de Febrero le dio base substancial.Spielberg gano por 5 cuerpos y un cuarto, como favorito 4-5 en la apuestas, pagando $3.60 a ganador.

Como nota de pie de página, Spielberg fue reclamado, dando a sus conexiones una ganancia de $3,750 fuera de su precio de reclamo más $13950 en dinero de premios.

La lección: La confianza de un entrenador en sus caballos es una herramienta de handicap poderosa.

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Bob Ehalt

Bob Ehalt has been an avid fan of Thoroughbred racing since that day in June of 1971 when he and his father walked from their Queens Village, N.Y., home to Belmont Park to see Canonero II fall short in his bid for the Triple Crown. A veteran sports writer and correspondent for Thoroughbred Times magazine, Bob has covered horse racing for more than 20 years and has won three awards in the Associated Press Sports Editors national writing contest for his coverage of the sport.

Now working at the New Haven Register in Connecticut, Bob has also owned Thoroughbreds since 1995 and was a member of the syndicate that raced Tale of the Cat. He also writes a racing blog for ESPNNewYork.com and is the co-founder of the New York Hot List handicapping service, which is offered at InterBets.com.

His NTRA.com blog received first-place honors in the 2008-09 Breeders' Cup Media Awards, winning in the initial year of competition in the Social Media category.  You can follow him on Twitter at @BobEhalt

 

Image Description

Bob Ehalt

Bob Ehalt has been an avid fan of Thoroughbred racing since that day in June of 1971 when he and his father walked from their Queens Village, N.Y., home to Belmont Park to see Canonero II fall short in his bid for the Triple Crown. A veteran sports writer and correspondent for Thoroughbred Times magazine, Bob has covered horse racing for more than 20 years and has won three awards in the Associated Press Sports Editors national writing contest for his coverage of the sport.

Now working at the New Haven Register in Connecticut, Bob has also owned Thoroughbreds since 1995 and was a member of the syndicate that raced Tale of the Cat. He also writes a racing blog for ESPNNewYork.com and is the co-founder of the New York Hot List handicapping service, which is offered at InterBets.com.

His NTRA.com blog received first-place honors in the 2008-09 Breeders' Cup Media Awards, winning in the initial year of competition in the Social Media category.  You can follow him on Twitter at @BobEhalt

 

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